All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
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As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…
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Michael Lopez (@StatsbyLopez) / X
Resources - David L. Carey
All models are wrong, but some are useful - The Correspondent
All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community
Probability: The Role of Probability in the World of Statistics - FasterCapital
What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press
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